Found this on a Facebook friend’s status: HowObamaGotElected.com. To paraphrase the site’s argument:
Obama got elected because Obama supporters are stupid/uninformed and the media was totally in the tank.
This, of course, is nonsense. Even if the McCain campaign hadn’t been terribly mismanaged, we were in an election year with a two-term, massively unpopular Republican president. It’s not like the Democrats had a huge hill to climb.
And the polling data that the site uses is extremely suspect. I’ll let Nate Silver (who’s so good at this whole polling thing that he predicted the ’08 election results with terrifying accuracy) explain.
Now, Silver calls this “push polling,” but I’m going to give Zogby the benefit of the doubt here. I don’t think Zogby is ethically bankrupt, I think they just suck. In fact, they’ve been sucking for quite some time. And in grading the accuracy of all of the final polls of this election year, they came in dead last.
But what the fuck do I know? I’m just an ignorant, trend-following Obama supporter.