Why Does Anyone Listen to Zogby Anymore?

Found this on a Facebook friend’s status: HowObamaGotElected.com. To paraphrase the site’s argument:

Obama got elected because Obama supporters are stupid/uninformed and the media was totally in the tank.

This, of course, is nonsense. Even if the McCain campaign hadn’t been terribly mismanaged, we were in an election year with a two-term, massively unpopular Republican president. It’s not like the Democrats had a huge hill to climb.

And the polling data that the site uses is extremely suspect. I’ll let Nate Silver (who’s so good at this whole polling thing that he predicted the ’08 election results with terrifying accuracy) explain.

Now, Silver calls this “push polling,” but I’m going to give Zogby the benefit of the doubt here. I don’t think Zogby is ethically bankrupt, I think they just suck. In fact, they’ve been sucking for quite some time. And in grading the accuracy of all of the final polls of this election year, they came in dead last.

But what the fuck do I know? I’m just an ignorant, trend-following Obama supporter.


One Response

  1. […] 18, 2008 by Ned Resnikoff Following up on my last post on the subject, it’s pretty clear that Zogby isn’t the only problem with this site; […]

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: